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 Sujet du message: Figures chartistes
MessagePosté: 06 Avr 2010, 19:35 
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Bonjour, :)

Avec Karim91 , nous avons décidé d'ouvrir cette file de discussion pour poster
les figures chartistes repérées qui ont une probabilité de réussite.
N'hésitez pas à poster les vôtres. :wink: de n'importe quel marché.
et si possible privilégiez les unités de Temps plus grande , minimum 4heures.


Sites avec explications des Figures: TribuForex - Trading-school
Figures Harmonic - site ici...

Je mettrai à jour ce premier message avec les figures trouvées et leurs réussites.

Date- figure - marché - période - réussi ou non-réussi.

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 Sujet du message: Re: Figures chartistes
MessagePosté: 06 Avr 2010, 19:38 
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Je commence :)

Gold - Daily - Toit inversé en sommet - figure de continuation ou de correction.


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 Sujet du message: Re: Figures chartistes
MessagePosté: 06 Avr 2010, 20:24 
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Euro contre Livres - Hebdomadaire - Fanion - indécision - figure de continuation


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 Sujet du message: Re: Figures chartistes
MessagePosté: 06 Avr 2010, 20:26 
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Dollar Australien contre Dollar US - Daily - Toit inversé en sommet - continuation ou correction.
et Canal Haussier .


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 Sujet du message: Re: Figures chartistes
MessagePosté: 06 Avr 2010, 20:27 
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Slt,


Bon ba j'apprend un truc aujourd'hui le toit inverse en sommet LOL.
LA ca va loin... ;) un jours on aura la figure de l'immeuble sur le cote ou la chaise de papy.
Ah un moment faut arreter je crois sur les figures... Mais pourquoi pas me direz vous.
Cela dit figure de continuation ou de correction tu te mouille pas trop ;0)
C'est sur que ou corrige ou on poursuit, on a pas d'autre choix...

Aller bon trade et belle initiative pour ce threads.

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 Sujet du message: Re: Figures chartistes
MessagePosté: 06 Avr 2010, 23:13 
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burdcom a écrit:
Slt,


Bon ba j'apprend un truc aujourd'hui le toit inverse en sommet LOL.
LA ca va loin... ;) un jours on aura la figure de l'immeuble sur le cote ou la chaise de papy.
Ah un moment faut arreter je crois sur les figures... Mais pourquoi pas me direz vous.
Cela dit figure de continuation ou de correction tu te mouille pas trop ;0)
C'est sur que ou corrige ou on poursuit, on a pas d'autre choix...

Aller bon trade et belle initiative pour ce threads.


c'est quoi cette critique de gamin ! construis avec maturité
vraiment n'importe quoi
Fab stp effaces les derniers messages ou effaces la file , MERCI !
ROOF(toit)
pour info

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 Sujet du message: Re: Figures chartistes
MessagePosté: 06 Avr 2010, 23:40 
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loooool burd t vraiment un tueur mdrrr....
merci herzou :-) je v m'y mettre également, super boulot!! :-)

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 Sujet du message: Re: Figures chartistes
MessagePosté: 07 Avr 2010, 00:09 
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Oula faut pas être si susceptible...
Je connaissais vraiment pas cette figure... Faut pas s'énerver comme ca Herzou ;)

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 Sujet du message: Re: Figures chartistes
MessagePosté: 07 Avr 2010, 10:43 
J'ai toujours eu un peu de mal avec les figures, d'ailleurs est ce que les types de bougies peuvent être postées aussi?

N'empêche c'est vrai qu'une figure indiquant une continuation ou une correction, ça n'a pas l'air très utile
Bref, ca sert à quoi concrètement? On se base sur des indicateurs pour savoir si une correction est possible (divergence?)


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 Sujet du message: Re: Figures chartistes
MessagePosté: 08 Avr 2010, 01:19 
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Merci pour l'initiative de cette file Karim et Herzou, qui est tout à fait intéressante.

Concernant la remarque de Burd je pense qu'il ne faut pas en faire tout un fromage, on connaît le personnage, il lui arrive d'être un peu téméraire parfois, mais il a un très bon esprit de partage.

Après c'est certain qu'on peu ne pas aimer certains de ses commentaires mais bon en général ça reste correct, donc je ne pense pas que ce soit vraiment utile de supprimer son post.
herzou a écrit:
c'est quoi cette critique de gamin ! construis avec maturité
vraiment n'importe quoi

Voila qui est bien répondu, je pense que vous êtes kit.

Aussi je ne veux surtout pas avoir un rôle de gendarme, donc tant qu'il n'y a pas d'insulte ou de mauvais esprit clairement afficher, j'essaye de censurer au minimum.

Pour en revenir aux figures chartistes:

Je ne connaissais pas le toit inversé, mais ça à l'air intéressant, et mine de rien on en repaire pas mal quand on observe différentes paires sur différentes unités de temps, je pense donc que savoir l'interpréter est vraiment un plus dans le cadre de l'analyse technique.

Sur GBP/USD en M15, j'ai repéré un W. Le franchissement de sa résistance horizontale (à 1.5286), pourrait-elle être interprétée comme un signal d'achat?
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 Sujet du message: Re: Figures chartistes
MessagePosté: 21 Avr 2012, 11:34 
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 Sujet du message: Re: Figures chartistes
MessagePosté: 21 Avr 2012, 19:01 
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burdcom a écrit:
Oula faut pas être si susceptible...
Je connaissais vraiment pas cette figure... Faut pas s'énerver comme ca Herzou ;)
D'autant que l'on pourrait très bien interpréter le fanion qui suit comme un toit sur le côté....ou un toit renversé???????? cela serait il dû à un effet cyclone ? ou aspirateur sans sac au choix?
Non.....c'est l'effet dyson. Une toute nouvelle figure qui ouvre une perspective inédite tout à fait intéressante dans l'analyse chartiste.

je plaisante.

mais pourquoi "toit inversé" et pas "chapeau chinois inversé" ou encore arapède inversée ou patèle inversée? ou encore brennig inversé pour faire breton.

on pourrait angliciser avantageusement ce vocable Breton pour donner " Brenning" qui ne veut rien dire mais qui sonne bien. Un nouveau concept quoi.

alors c'est quoi un brenning? C'est une consolidation qui descend et puis qui remonte en formant un canal descendant puis ascendant sans excéder les 0,382 de fibo.... on les avait oubliés ceux là.... là on a de quoi faire joujou un bon moment.

J'espère avoir fait avancé le schilimili.

bon WE et bon vote

ps: la figure corolaire du Brenning c'est le double Brenning qu'il ne faut pas confondre avec un W. Il y a aussi le double Brenning inversé qu'il ne faut pas confondre avec le M..... Je sais tous les débutants font la même erreur.... Mais avec l'expérience :D le subtil distingo saute aux yeux :D :D


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 Sujet du message: Head and Shoulders Bottom
MessagePosté: 29 Mai 2019, 01:39 
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Head and Shoulders Bottom

The Head and Shoulders Bottom, sometimes referred to as an Inverse Head and Shoulders, is a reversal pattern that shares many common characteristics with the Head and Shoulders Top, but relies more heavily on volume patterns for confirmation.

As a major reversal pattern, the Head and Shoulders Bottom forms after a downtrend, with its completion marking a change in trend. The pattern contains three successive troughs with the middle trough (head) being the deepest and the two outside troughs (shoulders) being shallower. Ideally, the two shoulders would be equal in height and width. The reaction highs in the middle of the pattern can be connected to form resistance, or a neckline.

The price action that forms the Head and Shoulders Bottom is roughly the same as that which forms the Head and Shoulders Top, but reversed. The role of volume marks the biggest difference between the two. Generally speaking, volume plays a larger role in bottom formations than top formations. While an increase in volume on the neckline breakout for a Head and Shoulders Top is welcomed, it is absolutely required for a bottom. We will look at each part of the pattern individually, keeping volume in mind, and then put the parts together with some examples.

Prior Trend: It is important to establish the existence of a prior downtrend for this to be a reversal pattern. Without a prior downtrend to reverse, there cannot be a Head and Shoulders Bottom formation.

Left Shoulder: While in a downtrend, the left shoulder forms a trough that marks a new reaction low in the current trend. After forming this trough, an advance ensues to complete the formation of the left shoulder (1). The high of the decline usually remains below any longer trend line, thus keeping the downtrend intact.

Head: From the high of the left shoulder, a decline begins that exceeds the previous low and forms the low point of the head. After making a bottom, the high of the subsequent advance forms the second point of the neckline (2). The high of the advance sometimes breaks a downtrend line, which calls into question the robustness of the downtrend.

Right Shoulder: The decline from the high of the head (neckline) begins to form the right shoulder. This low is always higher than the head, and it is usually in line with the low of the left shoulder. While symmetry is preferred, sometimes the shoulders can be out of whack, and the right shoulder will be higher, lower, wider, or narrower. When the advance from the low of the right shoulder breaks the neckline, the Head and Shoulders Bottom reversal is complete.

Neckline: The neckline forms by connecting reaction highs 1 and 2. Reaction High 1 marks the end of the left shoulder and the beginning of the head. Reaction High 2 marks the end of the head and the beginning of the right shoulder. Depending on the relationship between the two reaction highs, the neckline can slope up, slope down, or be horizontal. The slope of the neckline will affect the pattern's degree of bullishness: an upward slope is more bullish than a downward slope.

Volume: While volume plays an important role in the Head and Shoulders Top, it plays a crucial role in the Head and Shoulders Bottom. Without the proper expansion of volume, the validity of any breakout becomes suspect. Volume can be measured as an indicator (OBV, Chaikin Money Flow) or simply by analyzing the absolute levels associated with each peak and trough.

Volume levels during the first half of the pattern are less important than in the second half. Volume on the decline of the left shoulder is usually pretty heavy and selling pressure quite intense. The intensity of selling can even continue during the decline that forms the low of the head. After this low, subsequent volume patterns should be watched carefully to look for expansion during the advances.

The advance from the low of the head should show an increase in volume and/or better indicator readings, e.g., CMF > 0 or rise in OBV. After the reaction high forms the second neckline point, the right shoulder's decline should be accompanied with light volume. It is normal to experience profit-taking after an advance. Volume analysis helps distinguish between normal profit-taking and heavy selling pressure. With light volume on the pullback, indicators like CMF and OBV should remain strong. The most important moment for volume occurs on the advance from the low of the right shoulder. For a breakout to be considered valid, there needs to be an expansion of volume on the advance and during the breakout.

Neckline Break: The Head and Shoulders Bottom pattern is not complete (and the downtrend is not reversed) until neckline resistance is broken. For a Head and Shoulders Bottom, this must occur in a convincing manner, with an expansion of volume.

Resistance Turned Support: Once resistance is broken, it is common for this same resistance
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 Sujet du message: Falling Wedge
MessagePosté: 31 Mai 2019, 17:37 
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Falling Wedge
The Falling Wedge is a bullish pattern that begins wide at the top and contracts as prices move lower. This price action forms a cone that slopes down as the reaction highs and reaction lows converge. In contrast to symmetrical triangles, which have no definitive slope and no bias, falling wedges definitely slope down and have a bullish bias. However, this bullish bias cannot be realized until a resistance breakout occurs.
While this article will focus on the falling wedge as a reversal pattern, it can also fit into the continuation category. As a continuation pattern, the falling wedge will still slope down, but the slope will be against the prevailing uptrend. As a reversal pattern, the falling wedge slopes down and with the prevailing trend. Regardless of the type (reversal or continuation), falling wedges are regarded as bullish patterns.

Prior Trend: To qualify as a reversal pattern, there must be a prior trend to reverse. Ideally, the falling wedge will form after an extended downtrend and mark the final low. The pattern usually forms over a 3-6 month period and the preceding downtrend should be at least 3 months old.

Upper Resistance Line: It takes at least two reaction highs to form the upper resistance line, ideally three. Each reaction high should be lower than the previous highs.

Lower Support Line: At least two reaction lows are required to form the lower support line. Each reaction low should be lower than the previous lows.

Contraction: The upper resistance line and lower support line converge to form a cone as the pattern matures. The reaction lows still penetrate the previous lows, but this penetration becomes shallower. Shallower lows indicate a decrease in selling pressure and create a lower support line with less negative slope than the upper resistance line.

Resistance Break: Bullish confirmation of the pattern does not come until the resistance line is broken in convincing fashion. It is sometimes prudent to wait for a break above the previous reaction high for further confirmation. Once resistance is broken, there can sometimes be a correction to test the newfound support level.

Volume: While volume is not particularly important on rising wedges, it is an essential ingredient to confirm a falling wedge breakout. Without an expansion of volume, the breakout will lack conviction and be vulnerable to failure.

As with rising wedges, the falling wedge can be one of the most difficult chart patterns to accurately recognize and trade. When lower highs and lower lows form, as in a falling wedge, a security remains in a downtrend. The falling wedge is designed to spot a decrease in downside momentum and alert technicians to a potential trend reversal. Even though selling pressure may be diminishing, demand does not win out until resistance is broken. As with most patterns, it is important to wait for a breakout and combine other aspects of technical analysis to confirm signals.

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 Sujet du message: Rising Wedge
MessagePosté: 02 Juin 2019, 01:06 
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Rising Wedge

The Rising Wedge is a bearish pattern that begins wide at the bottom and contracts as prices move higher and the trading range narrows. In contrast to symmetrical triangles, which have no definitive slope and no bullish or bearish bias, rising wedges definitely slope up and have a bearish bias.

While though this article will focus on the rising wedge as a reversal pattern, the pattern can also fit into the continuation category. As a continuation pattern, the rising wedge will still slope up, but the slope will be against the prevailing downtrend. As a reversal pattern, the rising wedge will slope up and with the prevailing trend. Regardless of the type (reversal or continuation), rising wedges are bearish.

Prior Trend: In order to qualify as a reversal pattern, there must be a prior trend to reverse. The rising wedge usually forms over a 3-6 month period and can mark an intermediate or long-term trend reversal. Sometimes the current trend is totally contained within the rising wedge; other times the pattern will form after an extended advance.

Upper Resistance Line: It takes at least two reaction highs to form the upper resistance line, ideally three. Each reaction high should be higher than the previous high.

Lower Support Line: At least two reaction lows are required to form the lower support line. Each reaction low should be higher than the previous low.

Contraction: The upper resistance line and lower support line converge as the pattern matures. The advances from the reaction lows (lower support line) become shorter and shorter, which makes the rallies unconvincing. This creates an upper resistance line that fails to keep pace with the slope of the lower support line and indicates a supply overhang as prices increase.

Support Break: Bearish confirmation of the pattern does not come until the support line is broken in a convincing fashion. It is sometimes prudent to wait for a break of the previous reaction low. Once support is broken, there can sometimes be a reaction rally to test the newfound resistance level.

Volume: Ideally, volume will decline as prices rise and the wedge evolves. An expansion of volume on the support line break can be taken as bearish confirmation.

The rising wedge can be one of the most difficult chart patterns to accurately recognize and trade. While it is a consolidation formation, the loss of upside momentum on each successive high gives the pattern its bearish bias. However, the series of higher highs and higher lows keeps the trend inherently bullish. The final break of support indicates that the forces of supply have finally won out and lower prices are likely. There are no measuring techniques to estimate the decline – other aspects of technical analysis should be employed to forecast price targets.
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 Sujet du message: Rising Wedge and forex signals
MessagePosté: 04 Juin 2019, 22:17 
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Rising Wedge and forex signals
The Rising Wedge is a bearish pattern that begins wide at the bottom and contracts as prices move higher and the trading range narrows. In contrast to symmetrical triangles, which have no definitive slope and no bullish or bearish bias, rising wedges definitely slope up and have a bearish bias.

While though this article will focus on the rising wedge as a reversal pattern, the pattern can also fit into the continuation category. As a continuation pattern, the rising wedge will still slope up, but the slope will be against the prevailing downtrend. As a reversal pattern, the rising wedge will slope up and with the prevailing trend. Regardless of the type (reversal or continuation), rising wedges are bearish.

Prior Trend: In order to qualify as a reversal pattern, there must be a prior trend to reverse. The rising wedge usually forms over a 3-6 month period and can mark an intermediate or long-term trend reversal. Sometimes the current trend is totally contained within the rising wedge; other times the pattern will form after an extended advance.

Upper Resistance Line: It takes at least two reaction highs to form the upper resistance line, ideally three. Each reaction high should be higher than the previous high.

Lower Support Line: At least two reaction lows are required to form the lower support line. Each reaction low should be higher than the previous low.

Contraction: The upper resistance line and lower support line converge as the pattern matures. The advances from the reaction lows (lower support line) become shorter and shorter, which makes the rallies unconvincing. This creates an upper resistance line that fails to keep pace with the slope of the lower support line and indicates a supply overhang as prices increase.

Support Break: Bearish confirmation of the pattern does not come until the support line is broken in a convincing fashion. It is sometimes prudent to wait for a break of the previous reaction low. Once support is broken, there can sometimes be a reaction rally to test the newfound resistance level.

Volume: Ideally, volume will decline as prices rise and the wedge evolves. An expansion of volume on the support line break can be taken as bearish confirmation.

The rising wedge can be one of the most difficult chart patterns to accurately recognize and trade. While it is a consolidation formation, the loss of upside momentum on each successive high gives the pattern its bearish bias. However, the series of higher highs and higher lows keeps the trend inherently bullish. The final break of support indicates that the forces of supply have finally won out and lower prices are likely. There are no measuring techniques to estimate the decline – other aspects of technical analysis should be employed to forecast price targets.


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 Sujet du message: The Rounding Bottom
MessagePosté: 13 Juin 2019, 00:49 
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The Rounding Bottom
The Rounding Bottom is a long-term reversal pattern that is best suited for weekly charts. It is also referred to as a saucer bottom, and represents a long consolidation period that turns from a bearish bias to a bullish bias.

Prior Trend: In order to be a reversal pattern, there must be a prior trend to reverse. Ideally, the low of a rounding bottom will mark a new low or reaction low. In practice, there are occasions when the low is recorded many months earlier and the security trades flat before forming the pattern. When the rounding bottom does finally form, its low may not be the lowest low of the last few months.
Decline: The first portion of the rounding bottom is the decline that leads to the low of the pattern. This decline can take on different forms: some are quite jagged with a number of reaction highs and lows, while others trade lower in a more linear fashion.
Low: The low of the rounding bottom can resemble a “V” bottom, but should not be too sharp and should take a few weeks to form. Because prices are in a long-term decline, the possibility of a selling climax exists that could create a lower spike.
Advance: The advance off of the lows forms the right half of the pattern and should take about the same amount of time as the prior decline. If the advance is too sharp, then the validity of a rounding bottom may be in question.
Breakout: Bullish confirmation comes when the pattern breaks above the reaction high that marked the beginning of the decline at the start of the pattern. As with most resistance breakouts, this level can become support. However, rounding bottoms represent long-term reversal and this new support level may not be that significant.
Volume: In an ideal pattern, volume levels will track the shape of the rounding bottom: high at the beginning of the decline, low at the end of the decline and rising during the advance. Volume levels are not too important on the decline, but there should be an increase in volume on the advance and preferably on the breakout.
A rounding bottom could be thought of as a head and shoulders bottom without readily identifiable shoulders. The head represents the low and is fairly central to the pattern. The volume levels throughout the pattern mimic those of the head and shoulders bottom; confirmation comes with a resistance breakout. While symmetry is preferable on the rounding bottom, the left and right side do not have to be equal in time or slope. The important thing is to capture the essence of the pattern.

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 Sujet du message: Triple Top Reversal pattern
MessagePosté: 21 Juin 2019, 20:15 
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Triple Top Reversal pattern
The Triple Top Reversal is a bearish reversal pattern typically found on bar charts, line charts and candlestick charts. There are three equal highs followed by a break below support. As major reversal patterns, these patterns usually form over a 3 to 6 month period. Note that a Triple Top Reversal on a bar or line chart is completely different from Triple Top Breakout on a P&F chart.. Namely, Triple Top Breakouts on P&F charts are bullish patterns that mark an upside resistance breakout. We will first examine the individual parts of the pattern and then look at an example.
Prior Trend: With any reversal pattern, there should be an existing trend to reverse. In the case of the Triple Top Reversal, an uptrend should precede the formation.

Three Highs: All three highs should be reasonably equal, well spaced and mark clear turning points to establish resistance. The highs do not have to be exactly equal, but should be reasonably equivalent to each other.

Volume: As the Triple Top Reversal develops, overall volume levels usually decline. Volume sometimes increases near the highs. After the third high, an expansion of volume on the subsequent decline and at the support break greatly reinforces the soundness of the pattern.

Support Break: As with many other reversal patterns, the Triple Top Reversal is not complete until a support break. The lowest point of the formation, which would be the lowest of the intermittent lows, marks this key support level.

Support Turns Resistance: Broken support becomes potential resistance, and there is sometimes a test of this newfound resistance level with a subsequent reaction rally.

Price Target: The distance from the support break to the highs can be measured and subtracted from the support break for a price target. The longer the pattern develops, the more significant the ultimate break. Triple Top Reversals that are 6 or more months old represent major tops and a price target is less likely to be effective.

Throughout the development of the Triple Top Reversal, it can start to resemble a number of other patterns. Before the third high forms, the pattern may look like a Double Top Reversal. Three equal highs can also be found in an ascending triangle or rectangle. Of these patterns mentioned, only the ascending triangle has bullish overtones; the others are neutral until a break occurs. In this same vein, the Triple Top Reversal should also be treated as a neutral pattern until a breakdown occurs. The inability to break above resistance is bearish, but the bears have not won the battle until support is broken. Volume on the last decline off resistance can sometimes yield a clue. If there is a sharp increase in volume and momentum, then the chances of a support break increase.

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